Dust off your glad rags, the Oscars are almost upon us. On Sunday (March 12), the 95th Academy Awards will take place in Los Angeles with what is the closest race in years. Categories that seemed dead certs weeks ago are now wide open, as favourites look nervously over their shoulders. So who will be celebrating and who will be commiserating? Here are our picksâŠ
Best Picture
The favourite: Everything Everywhere All At Once â surely, in every alternate reality, this multiverse of madness takes the top gong.
The dark horse: All Quiet On The Western Front â the WWI dramaâs BAFTA win could yet foreshadow an Oscar shock.
The rest: Top Gun: Maverick, Women Talking, Avatar: The Way of Water, The Fabelmans, The Banshees of Inisherin, Triangle of Sadness, Elvis, TĂĄr
And the Oscar goes to⊠who the hell knows? Those who saw Steven Spielbergâs auto-fiction The Fabelmans triumph at its Toronto Film Festival screening, where it won the oft-telling Peopleâs Choice Award, felt it was his to lose. Likewise, Martin McDonaghâs tale of an Emerald Isle friendship gone awry, The Banshees of Inisherin, which took Best Screenplay at the Venice Film Festival. And then there were those who felt Top Gun: Maverick would snag it for basically saving cinema last year, thanks to its colossal box office. But itâs the Danielsâ multiverse saga Everything Everywhere All At Once that has grown in popularity throughout awards season. After winning the PGA (Producerâs Guild of America) award for Best Film, that surely puts it now as the unassailable frontrunner. But donât discount Netflixâs All Quiet on the Western Front; itâs much admired throughout Hollywood and comparisons to the Ukraine-Russia conflict may well prey on votersâ minds.

Best Actor
The favourite: Brendan Fraser â Because the âBrenaissanceâ is impossible to ignore, especially for this once-in-a-lifetime role.
The dark horse: Austin Butler â he won the BAFTA for his astounding Elvis, so could yet be the King.
The rest: Colin Farrell, Bill Nighy, Paul Mescal
Once upon a time, when he claimed Best Actor at the Venice Film Festival, this was Colin Farrellâs to lose for his poignant performance in Banshees as a simple Irish farmer losing his best friend. But Hollywood loves a comeback story, and Brendan Fraserâs transcendent turn as an overweight literature teacher in The Whale has seen the actor embraced once more. That he also took the significant SAG (Screen Actors Guild) award would indicate that his peers are right behind him. But Austin Butler may yet pull off a first win for his stupendous hip-wiggling take on Elvis Presley. And in the year that the singerâs daughter Lisa Marie Presley passed away, the sentiment may carry through to Butler. Sadly, that means Bill Nighy, for his brilliant turn as a dying bureaucrat in Living and Paul Mescal, for his sensitive father in Aftersun, are just there to enjoy the canapes.

Best Actress
The favourite: Cate Blanchett â the imperious actress has nearly swept the lot for her conductor in TĂĄr.
The dark horse: Michelle Yeoh â the rising tide for Everything Everywhere could just see Yeoh sneak it.
The rest: Michelle Williams, Ana de Armas, Andrea Riseborough
Just a few weeks ago, when Blanchett took the BAFTA for Best Actress, youâd have put your house on her winning a third Oscar â to nestle on her sideboard next to those she won for The Aviator and Blue Jasmine â for her gargantuan turn as conductor Lydia TĂĄr. But thereâs a lot of love for the 60-year-old Michelle Yeoh, who has yet to win an Oscar, and her triumph at the recent SAG awards hints that sheâs got a chance of overhauling Blanchett. The other three look set to be left in the rear-view mirror, despite Williams (as Spielbergâs eccentric mother-figure in The Fabelmans) and de Armas (as Marilyn Monroe in Blonde) both excelling. British actress Andrea Riseborough faces a slightly awkward night on the red carpet after her nomination for To Leslie was steeped in controversy following a celebrity-backed campaign that swept her into the Best Actress race.

Best Supporting Actor
The favourite: Ke Huy Quan â Everything Everywhereâs ultra-loveable Quan is surely the Oscarsâ one sure thing this year.
The dark horse: Barry Keoghan â Keoghanâs Banshees turn captured BAFTA hearts and could yet do the same with Academy voters.
The rest: Judd Hirsch, Brendan Gleeson, Brian Tyree Henry
Nobody has been enjoying awards season more than Ke Huy Quan. His turn as the goofy husband in Everything Everywhere brought him right back centre-stage after years in the wilderness, following pre-teen roles in The Goonies and Indiana Jones And The Temple Of Doom. His genuine humility has been infectious, and after making history as the first Asian male to win a SAG Best Supporting, it seems unthinkable that he wonât collect the Academy Award in mid-March. The only blip was the BAFTAs, where Bansheesâ Barry Keoghan took the prize for his turn as a sad-sack village idiot â though many felt that was a home-win in lieu of Oscar glory. The remainder â Causewayâs excellent Brian Tyree Henry, as a troubled garage mechanic; Keoghanâs Banshees co-star Gleeson, as a fiddle-playing maniac; and The Fabelmansâ Judd Hirsch, as a beloved uncle â would all be worthy winners on another year. But this is Ke Huy Quanâs to lose.

Best Supporting Actress
The favourite: Angela Bassett â the veteran star rocks in Black Panther: Wakanda Forever and has a career that deserves rewarding.
The dark horse: Jamie Lee Curtis â another hugely popular Everything Everywhere alumni, whose Oscar-less career is every bit as rich as Bassettâs.
The rest: Hong Chau, Kerry Condon, Stephanie Hsu
Another category that seemed destined to be heading in one direction until recently. Angela Bassett is still the one to beat for her regal turn in Black Panther: Wakanda Forever, which would make her the first ever person to take home an acting Oscar for performing in a Marvel movie. But since losing the BAFTA to Bansheesâ Kerry Condon (who is marvellous as Farrellâs long-suffering sister) and missing out on the all-important SAG award to Jamie Lee Curtis (who has a ball as the grouchy tax inspector), it could be that sheâs losing momentum at that all-important time. Especially as these are the litmus test awards, voted for chiefly by her fellow actors, in the run-up to the Oscars. Sadly, the best performance of the five â Hong Chauâs waspish nurse in The Whale â looks set to be overlooked, while Everything Everywhereâs Stephanie Hsu is likely to be the only one from that filmâs ensemble that misses out.

Best Director
The favourite: Daniel Kwan & Daniel Scheinert â those innovative Daniels boys are Everything Everywhere right now.
The dark horse: Steven Spielberg â sentiment for the worldâs most successful director may yet tip the scales.
The rest: Todd Field, Martin McDonagh, Ruben Ăstlund
The Academy could yet reward Steven Spielberg for his most personal film, The Fabelmans â especially as movies about moviemaking always play well. But Daniel Kwan & Daniel Scheinert already picked up the DGA (Directorâs Guild of America) award, a sure-fire indicator that Everything Everywhere is the awards seasonâs unstoppable train. And who could begrudge them, given their film features a dildo as a weapon? Bansheesâ Martin McDonagh is likely to be rewarded elsewhere, in the Best Original Screenplay category, where he will also battle it out with Triangle of Sadnessâ Ruben Ăstlund (although you feel his reward came in Cannes last year, with a second Palme dâOr of his career). Todd Field will likely be left in the dust for his brilliant, operatic, controversial TĂĄr â easily one of the best films of the past year, but also far too challenging for the usually conservative Academy.

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